Trump AI Executive Order prop bets
1
Ṁ1.2kṀ189Jun 2
63%
Elon Musk is present when the EO is signed
63%
Sam Altman is present when the EO is signed
59%
The EO is signed before June 1
59%
The EO gives the US government early access to frontier models
55%
Dario Amodei is present when the EO is signed
50%
The EO mentions open source models
50%
Trump says AI 20+ times during the ceremony
50%
Trump mentions Mythos during the ceremony
49%
Trump says "cybersecurity" during the ceremony
48%
Trump mentions chinese AI models during the ceremony
45%
The EO enforces mandatory safety reviews by the US government
45%
The Musk v. Altman lawsuit is mentioned or directly hinted at during the ceremony
Answers implying the EO has been signed will N/A if no such thing happens before June 1.
"the ceremony" is the entire televised event in which the EO is signed. Mentions will count during any stage of such event, as long as there is video proof.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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