How many unique traders will Nash Pit get?
5
1kแน€923
Jun 11
170 people
expected
13%
10 - 49
36%
50 - 99
26%
100 - 199
7%
200 - 299
6%
300 - 399
6%
400 - 500
5%
Above 500

This market resolves to however many unique users hold shares in a market with the topic "Nash Pit". I will count these by writing a script that fetches the final holder list for every one of these markets and get a final count of unique users.

This market will close whenever the final "official" Nash Pit market for this edition of the game closes.

  • Update 2025-06-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * This market itself (regarding the number of unique traders) will not be counted, as it is not considered official. This particular exclusion is final.

    • Only markets with the topic "Nash Pit" that are deemed official by the creator will be included in the count of unique traders.

    • The creator may adjust what is considered an official market during the event, potentially based on criteria such as the popularity of derivative markets.

  • Update 2025-06-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * Unlisted markets will count as long as their data can be retrieved from the API at the time of resolution.

    • Markets that vanish from existence (e.g., are deleted) will not count.

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At time of post, on the event planning page for speakers and event planners, 11 non-me people say they might come, and 4 non-me people have declared there is a 75%+ chance of them attending.

Oopsie, I lied. I count as one of those people with 75%+ odds of attending.

Do you count unlisted markets? What if they stop being unlisted?

@Quroe i will only count the number of unique traders after all concerning markets have closed.

@256 What if there is a unique trader who only trades on (an) unlisted Nash Pit market(s)?

@Quroe im not sure what an unlisted market looks like then? as long as i can still get the data from the api, it will count. i havent seen a market become inaccesible to the point where one cant see the history, unless it were to get deleted?

lets just say if a market vanishes from existence then it wont count.

@256 Got it. I will publically confirm that there is at least 1 Nash Pit related unlisted market. This is a Capture The Flag challenge. Happy hunting!

There will be reasonable methods of finding it.

bought แน€50 NO

Does this market count as a part of the sum?

@RKCarn Great question. No, this market wont count because it is not official. I might change my mind on what is official throughout the event (if some derivative markets become incredibly popular) but this one for sure wont be included.

bought แน€5 YES

@256 Do you need a list of all the "official" ones? I'm sure you can easily parse out which is which if you look at my questions log, though.

@Quroe yeah i think ill be fine by just looking at the topic. thx though

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