How many of the top 10 markets will be about Charlie Kirk in a week?
8
125Ṁ257
Sep 20
6.28 markets
expected
97%
More than 1
31%
More than 3
30%
More than 5
22%
More than 7
14%
More than 9

In a week (11:59 PM 19th of September UTC -3) i will open manifold from an incognito tab and look at the "Best" tab with the option "Any Status". This market will resolve to how many of the first 10 entries are about Charlie Kirk.

This market wont be included if it is in the top 10, and i will evaluate the 11th.

  • Update 2025-09-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Scope of "about Charlie Kirk": Markets about related events (e.g., his killer or his murder) are counted as being about Charlie Kirk.

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Just excessively pedantic question, but wanted to clarify as it wasnt exactly clear. I would assume this includes markets about his killer/murder and not just markets directly about him.

@Xizted yes, of course.

@256 I assumed as such, but wanted to get it in writing.

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