I will not trade any claim in this market.

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve based on the state of the market page at 2026-05-26 13:00 UTC. The options will resolve as follows:

• More unique traders than unique commenters: Resolves YES if the total number of unique users who have placed a trade is strictly greater than the total number of unique users who have posted a comment on the market page.

• The count of final holders of this claim will be prime: Resolves YES if the total number of users holding a position in this market on this claim (non-zero balance) is a prime number (e.g., 2, 3, 5, 7, 11...).

• The market will have at least one 24 hours period with no trades: Resolves YES if there exists any continuous 24-hour window between market creation and the resolution time during which zero trades occurred.

• This claim probability will be the closest to 50%: Resolves YES if the absolute difference between this option's probability and 50% is smaller than the absolute difference between any other option's probability and 50%.

All data points (trader/commenter counts, holder counts, trade history, and probabilities) will be taken directly from the Manifold interface at the designated resolution time.

If data is unavailable or ambiguous at the resolution time, the creator will resolve based on the best available information.

Background

This is an independent multiple-choice market.

Traders should note that the market allows for additional answers to be added by anyone, which may affect the "closest to 50%" outcome calculation.

As this is a metadata-dependent market, participants should monitor the market's activity logs up to the resolution time.