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MANIFOLD
FiveThirtyEight’s Biden approval rating on June 30?
20
Ṁ1.2kṀ7k
resolved Jul 1
100%94%
39.1% to 40%
0.3%
Less than 39%
3%
40.1% to 41%
0.9%
41.1% to 42%
0.8%
42.1% to 43%
0.5%
Over 43%

This resolves as per the FiveThirtyEight weighted average of approval polls for President Biden at 23:59 Easter Time:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/

(Less than 39% is inclusive)

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Resolves 39.1-40

@JosephNoonan Thanks! I'll try to make the bins better for August, but here is the July version already:

It's currently 40.0%, which I assume would resolve to 39.1% to 40%. These are binned in a weird way.

likely stupid question but: are you supposed to be able to SELL any positions at all in this market format? i simply cannot find the button to do so and am wondering if that was a design choice or i'm just missing it

@Davida There is no sell button yet, but they are planning to add one.