FiveThirtyEight’s Biden approval rating on July 31?
8
Ṁ450Ṁ3.1kresolved Aug 1
100%88%
40.1% to 41%
0.2%
Less than 39%
0.2%
39.1% to 40%
12%
41.1% to 42%
0.3%
42.1% to 43%
0.2%
Over 43%
This resolves as per the FiveThirtyEight weighted average of approval polls for President Biden at 23:59 Easter Time:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/
(Less than 39% is inclusive)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@ChristopherRandles I will check the site at 23:59 ET and go by the value displayed there. They do sometimes updated more than once a day, so I wouldn't bet it to 100% just yet.