2024 Met Gala ✨ Live Red Carpet Predictions!
2024 Met Gala ✨ Live Red Carpet Predictions!
33
1.6kṀ16kresolved May 8
Resolved
YESSurprise pregnancy announcement
Resolved
YESKim Kardashian is in attendance
Resolved
YESOutfit inspired by a fruit or vegetable
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YESSomeone wearing a Salvador Dalí-inspired timepiece or outfit
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YESSomeone is saying the "ceasefire"
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NOPalestinian flag is visible on a guest
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NOIsrael flag is visible on a guest
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NOAI generated dress
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NOHailey Bieber announces pregnancy
Resolved
NOOutfit inspired by one of the 7 dwarfs
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NOTikTok CEO Shou Chew does not attend
Resolved
NOA Trump or Biden is in attendance
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NOSomeone seen vaping on the red carpet
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NOKylie Jenner announces pregnancy
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NOAnyone's penis slips out of the trousers
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NOBianca Censori titties hanging out (90%+ exposure)
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NORihanna has a predominantly White, Yellow, Blue or Green top half
Resolved
NOJennifer Lopez has a predominantly White, Brown, Blue or Black top half
Resolved
NOTaylor Swift is mentioned
Affectionately referred to as “fashion’s biggest night out,” the Met Gala 2024 is a fundraising benefit for the Metropolitan Museum of Art in New York City that is held every year on the first Monday in May. The event welcomes stars, young creatives, and industry paragons.
Questions resolve based on the live red carpet broadcast as well as articles, tweets, and other sources where necessary. Feel free to add your own questions, but keep them reasonable / be prepared to provide proof for resolution or they will be N/A'ed and fees will not be returned.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.