I will resolve this market NO at the end of July unless I am persuaded to resolve it YES (Hard Mode) | Manifold

I will resolve this market NO at the end of July unless I am persuaded to resolve it YES (Hard Mode)

5

100Ṁ107

Jul 31

23%

chance

6

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market is like Ben's market except that I am difficult to sway and you won't sway me so easily:

Obviously I precommit not to negotiate with terrorists, no threats you make will impact my decision in either direction.

I could imagine myself being bribed, but my price is high.

Good luck.

Update 2025-07-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated they will resolve the market to YES for a price of 50,000 mana.

Meta-Forecasting

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1,000

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People are also trading

I will resolve this market NO at the end of July unless I am persuaded to resolve it YES (Hard Mode)

I will resolve this market NO at the end of July unless I am persuaded to resolve it YES (Easy Mode)

-12% 1d40% chance

This market will resolve YES if I'm still active on Manifold by the end of 2025, and NO otherwise. I will bet only YES.

Related questions

I will resolve this market NO at the end of July unless I am persuaded to resolve it YES (Hard Mode)

I will resolve this market NO at the end of July unless I am persuaded to resolve it YES (Easy Mode)

This market will resolve YES if I'm still active on Manifold by the end of 2025, and NO otherwise. I will bet only YES.

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