Putin announced a unilateral ceasefire for May 9th. Will it hold?
18
Ṁ100Ṁ2.3kresolved May 29
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%94%
No significant reduction in fighting
5%
Generally acknowledged significant reduction in fighting
1.7%Other
Source: https://www.rbc.ru/politics/28/04/2025/680f63cc9a79477f368be07c
The precise duration is May 8th 00:00 -- May 10th 23:59
Necessary conditions for outcome 1:
No long-range strikes from either side
No new offensives
Post-factum comments from both sides after the ceasefire is over acknowledging a reduction in fighting
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