Will I bike at least 60 miles in one day prior to February 15, 2024?
12
250Ṁ264
resolved Feb 16
Resolved
NO
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Not resolving early was a hint of failure

@SavioMak For the March 15 market (already up), I'll precommit to not resolving early even if the result becomes known.

@AryehZax That is definitely against the spirit of Manifold, can I ask why you don't want to? Resolving early is a core feature.

@Eliza Because the last few of these markets have shown that I'm lazy and I think it'd be fun to run one with less information leakage. I won't commit to doing it forever.

@AryehZax Make sure you are very clear about it in the description, otherwise traders will be very upset when it resolves Yes on the last day.

Do you plan to make an attempt?

@Eliza Yes.

@AryehZax Aweseome! Best of luck!

Will you be training for the attempt or just going for it from nothing?

Do you have experience riding 60 miles in a day in the past, or is it your first attempt?

I have no particular intent to go on shorter training rides first.

I've been on a couple 60-mile rides in the past but not in a few years. Three 40+ mile rides last year, and a 52-mile ride in November.

@AryehZax You can do it for sure then! I'll buy some Yes to profit.

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