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MANIFOLD
What deck will I play in the Modern Showcase Qualifier on March 23rd, 2024?
3
แน€690แน€1.1k
resolved Mar 23
100%70%
Tron
1.7%
Yawgmoth
1.7%
RB Scam
4%
Rainbow Rhinos
0.9%
Temur Rhinos
13%
Amulet
3%
UR Murktide
1.7%
Living End
1.7%
Domain Zoo
1.7%
4c Control
1.7%Other

I qualified for the tournament playing Tron.

Market will resolve to "Other" if I don't play the Modern Showcase Qualifier this season (due to deferral, disqualification, me being sleepy, etc.). Market will resolve as normal if the Showcase is rescheduled to a different date within two weeks of its initially scheduled date.

Market context
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Are you taking the market into consideration or are we just guessing based on what decks are popular?

bought แน€100 YES

@StopPunting I am betting based on my knowledge of the general tendancies of the market creator and that decks he has registered lately in various Magic Online events. (The latter is public.) I do not believe the market will effect his decisions.

@StopPunting This is a 30-player tournament whose winner qualifies for the MOCS (and the PT) and I will not let the Manifold market override my desire to win such a high-stakes tournament.

@AryehZax I could imagine some genius trader buying Other and privately convincing me that Merfolk is an insanely good choice for the weekend, but I won't be toying with the market for the sake of toying with the market (rather than using information in the market as a hint to the truth).