Gyanesh Kumar has served as India's Chief Election Commissioner (CEC) since 19 February 2025. His scheduled term ends on 26 January 2029. Under Article 324(5) of the Constitution, a CEC can be removed only in the same manner as a Supreme Court judge: a resolution passed by both Houses of Parliament with a special majority. Opposition parties have pursued removal notices, one of which was not admitted in April 2026.

This market asks whether he will stop holding the office of CEC before the deadline, for any reason.

RESOLVES YES if, before 23:59 IST on 31 December 2026, any of the following takes effect:

- His resignation becomes effective

- He is removed from office by order of the President

- A court order ends his tenure or invalidates his appointment

- He dies or is otherwise permanently unable to hold office

- Any other person formally takes charge as CEC or acting CEC in his place

RESOLVES NO if he still holds the office of CEC at 23:59 IST on 31 December 2026.

DOES NOT COUNT AS LEAVING OFFICE

- A removal motion or notice being filed, admitted, or debated in Parliament

- Court notices, hearings, or stays on specific ECI decisions while he remains CEC

- Temporary leave or illness

- Demands for resignation, protests, petitions, or "people's notices"

- An announced resignation that has not yet taken effect by the deadline

EFFECTIVE DATE

The date he legally ceases to hold office determines resolution, not the date of an announcement, vote, or news report.

RESOLUTION SOURCES

Primary: Gazette of India, Ministry of Law and Justice, Press Information Bureau (PIB), or the Election Commission of India.

Fallback: if official sources are unclear, consensus reporting from at least two major national outlets (e.g., PTI, The Hindu, Indian Express).