This market resolves to the FIRST public office for which Marjorie Taylor Greene formally files a Statement of Candidacy by Jan 1, 2028.

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Options:

Georgia Governor (2026): Resolves YES if she files for the open seat vacated by Brian Kemp.

Georgia filing deadline is March 6, 2026. 

US Senate (2026): Resolves YES if she files to challenge Jon Ossoff.

Georgia filing deadline is March 6, 2026. 

US President (Republican): Resolves YES if she files FEC Form 2 for President as a Republican.

US President (Ind/3rd Party): Resolves YES if she files FEC Form 2 for President as an Independent, Libertarian, or other 3rd party. (Tracks the "Spoiler" scenario).

None / Media Only: Resolves YES if she does not file for any of the above offices by Jan 1, 2028. (Select this if you believe she will pivot to a media career).

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She Must File: Exploratory committees, book tours, "listening tours," and social media announcements do NOT count. Only legal ballot access paperwork counts.

First Mover: The market resolves based on the first filing chronologically. If she files for Governor in 2026, the market resolves immediately, even if she loses and later runs for President in 2028.

VP Exception: Running for Vice President does not count as a "run" for the purposes of this market.

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Resolution Sources

FEC.gov Candidate Search and GA Secretary of State Qualifying List.