Will the Destiny–Lav bridge stand on Jan 31, 2023?
374
79
2K
resolved Feb 1
Resolved
NO

The question will be decided using my best judgment according to serious comments made by Destiny and Lav after the market closes. (Clippers welcome.) [26 Oct clarification] If there’s conflict in the meantime, but they mend it before Jan 31, it’ll resolve to “YES, the bridge is standing”.

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If you think this should resolve to YES, argue your case asap.

predicted NO

that whale singlehandedly quadrupled my profits

@0o0 sold Ṁ2,362 NO from 22% to 96%
geez

predicted NO

@yaboi69 already doubled my og investment because of that guy lmaoo

predicted NO

Pump Eet

bought Ṁ100 of YES

big lav bag holder here

predicted NO

The Destiny Manifesto by Lav just dropped on her patreon (dont’t support her).

predicted NO

LAV IS UNHINGED

predicted YES

I've lost everything, I had to take a second mortgage on my house to buy these stocks and now they're worthless

predicted NO

@GeorgeBarnacle While I have this shorted so I am coming from a privileged position, there is hope for you, perhaps the coomer brain will be so strong that the bridge is willed back into existence. Good luck, I love you.

predicted YES

What happens in the case of Lav never orbiting/streaming again from this point forward?

@0o0 As I commented under the MrGirl bridge market, I’ll try hard to stick to the original description:

>Welp. I have regrets [about not preparing for more complicated outcomes], but it is what it is now. I plan to resolve the market cleanly, either as YES or NO, “using my best judgment according to serious comments made by Destiny and MrGirl after the market closes”. In other words, you have to metagame forecast if/how they react. If these criteria fail to provide an answer – I have some ideas, but for now, let’s keep them TBD.

bought Ṁ50 of NO

DUMP IT

predicted YES

Lav is going to flip flop and you all know it.

predicted NO

the bridge is burned

@old_chicken I see the cons, but I’m sticking to the original description (with clarifications) – it’s going to be decided by the status on Jan 31. Until then, trade the volatility.

@yaboi69 two months is plenty of time for bridges to be rebuilt, although this one does seem annihilated. I think you're right to keep up the trade

predicted NO

ok my take may have aged poorly for some reason streamer man is out there trying to proactively save the lav bridge despite everyone telling him no FML

predicted NO

fuck this shit i guess im waiting till january coz apparently destiny was joking about bringing her on stream today

predicted YES

@old_chicken not joking

predicted YES

@old_chicken oh i misunderstood. he said on melinas stream a few hours ago that lav will be back on stream in the upcoming week with a probability of 50%