
Resolves YES if Amazon acquires at least one company in the health and wellness sector, for $10 billion or more in total, before the end of 2023. Resolves NO otherwise.
Sources for verification can include mainstream media reports, company announcements, and quotes from officials. The health and wellness sector includes companies involved in healthcare, fitness, nutrition, and related fields. The acquisition can be made by Amazon itself, or a subsidiary company. If the purchase price is not disclosed, the question will be evaluated based on the best available estimates.
$10 billion is a proxy for the scale of companies like Ro, Hims & Hers Health, Peloton Interactive, or Whoop, taking into account that the $4B One Medical purchase was described as small in the quote below.
Context: All-in podcast, E110, “2023 Bestie Predictions!”
Jason Calacanis: “[Biggest business deal in 2023.] For me the prediction is Amazon's three legged stool grows into a sturdy chair with a fourth pillar. For those folks who are not familiar with how Amazon has built their businesses, there are three pillars in their stool. E-commerce, obviously, when you buy stuff, Prime memberships, which is kind of considered a separate revenue stream, and of course, AWS cloud computing. I think the fourth is going to be this continuation of following the health stream, not advertising because that's not a consumer-based product. That's just a way they make money. Health is going to be a big one for them. They obviously acquired One Medical, which was a small purchase. I think they're going to buy Roman, Hims, they could buy Peloton, they could buy Whoop, and they're going to go all in on health.”
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