Will Manifold fix the random profit spikes by the end of July?

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Ṁ6449

resolved Aug 5

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It seemed for a period like the old bug where the profits seem to spike and dip at random times for no apparent reason was gone. But now it's returned with a vengeance. The spikes are rarer, but still very noticeable. Will I have any unexplainable spikes left by the end of July?

This is my profits from the last week, with the mysterious spikes, for reference.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

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predicted NO

Gonna add this as a new (to me) bug, where I had a phantom profit jump on Jul 10 that reverted itself yesterday on Jul 30. It affected only the chart, while the calculated profit for leagues, etc. was not impacted:

I got one after betting on this market, which is strange

/StrayClimb/will-manifold-fix-the-random-profit-378c301eabab

New version for August

Hadn't seen on on my thing in a while, but here is one from just now on 7/29 for the record

predicted NO

Also it looks like lately they have spent a lot of effort making the UI much worse, rather than fixing bugs

I'd pay so much mana for a bot that automatically bets no on any "will manifold ___ " markets. the real probability here should probably be like 1%

This looks like the sort of thing that will never be fixed

I had assumed this was just from brief jumps in market probabilities being corrected back fast.

Another profit spike (downwards)

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