What will public US debt be as a percent of GDP for Q4 2024?
5
135Ṁ1143
resolved Mar 11
Resolved
YES
> 100%
Resolved
YES
> 115%
Resolved
YES
> 120%
Resolved
NO
> 125%
Resolved
NO
> 130%
Resolved
NO
> 122%

Resolves based on FRED https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDEGDQ188S which seems to be updated sometime after the quarterly GDP numbers are released, so we'll aim for late January 2025.

I will add more options if the numbers move significantly outside the current range. All markets that are correct will resolve YES.

As a starting point, it is 121.7% as of Q4 2023.

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