What will public US debt be as a percent of GDP for Q4 2024?
Basic
3
Ṁ252Jan 24
98.1%
> 100%
91%
> 115%
66%
> 120%
50%
> 122%
41%
> 125%
19%
> 130%
Resolves based on FRED https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDEGDQ188S which seems to be updated sometime after the quarterly GDP numbers are released, so we'll aim for late January 2025.
I will add more options if the numbers move significantly outside the current range. All markets that are correct will resolve YES.
As a starting point, it is 121.7% as of Q4 2023.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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