Will October suprise be a land invasion of Lebanon by Israel?
Mini
12
แน€1309
Oct 31
47%
chance

Will Israel launch a invasion of Lebanon by the end of October 2024?

Resolves yes if so.

Get แน€1,000 play money
Sort by:
bought แน€250 YES

i will buy yes at any price for any amount

opened a แน€250 NO at 95% order

@JamieCrom put up some limits

bought แน€150 NO

@JamieCrom whats the reasoning for your confidence? I'm just curious, thank you

bought แน€75 YES

U.S. White House or US/Israel Department of Defense or the State Department confirming involvement in the war.

Israeli Prime Minister's Office or Ministry of Defense and/or credible International Outlets like Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, BBC, CNN, and Al Jazeera would likely report on an invasion.