Donald has consistently outperformed polling data in both 2016 leading to a Hillary Loss and 2020 leading to a much tighter race, Trump voters get out to vote, this was however prior to Donald's discouraging rhetoric in 2020.

Will Donald Outperform the polling data this election?

This is from the American Association for Public Opinion Research.

"The task force found that polling during the two weeks before the election overstated support for then-Democratic nominee Joe Biden by 3.9 percentage points, which was the largest polling error since 1980 when support for Democratic nominee Jimmy Carter was overestimated by 6 percentage points"

Will use the popular vote and USA_Polling national average to resolve.

https://x.com/USA_Polling/status/1834306104395780490?t=E6lsmxXDdCyQ18-OQJ22Ig&s=19