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Will Silver hit ... by end of January?
19
Ṁ275Ṁ1.5k
in 17 hours
83%
Silver will hit $85 per ounce by end of January
3%
Silver will hit $82 per ounce by end of January
3%
Silver will hit $90 per ounce by end of January
3%
Silver will hit $80 per ounce by end of January
1.2%
Silver will hit $77 per ounce by end of January
1.2%
Silver will not hit any of the above prices by end of January
1.2%
Silver will hit $79 per ounce by end of January
1.2%
Silver will hit $78 per ounce by end of January
1.2%
Silver will hit $76 per ounce by end of January
1.2%
Silver will hit $75 per ounce by end of January
1.1%
Other

Resolution criteria

This market resolves based on the spot price of silver (XAG/USD) at the close of trading on January 31, 2026. The resolution will use the official closing price from COMEX futures or a major commodities exchange.

Background

Silver recently touched an all-time high of $84.01 in late December 2025, though it dropped more than 5% to $72 per ounce on Wednesday, retreating from the record high as investors locked in year-end profits. As of January 2, 2026, silver was trading at approximately $74.10 per ounce. The precious metal surged 148% last year, supported by its designation as a critical US mineral, tight supply conditions, low stockpiles, and strengthening industrial and investment demand.

Considerations

More than $5 billion of silver holdings will have to be sold in the five-day roll period starting in early January due to index rebalancing, which could create near-term downward pressure. However, the price of silver is widely expected to increase in 2026, according to precious metals investing experts. One forecast model projects a January high of $94.27 and an end-of-month price of $89.31, though such predictions vary widely. Trend-line analysis shows silver seeing a setback in early 2026, before resuming its ascent.

  • Update 2026-01-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on the closing price on January 31, 2026, not the highest price reached during the month.

  • Update 2026-01-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the closing price on January 31, 2026 does not match any of the specific price tier options listed, the market will resolve to Other.

  • Update 2026-01-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the spot price at close on January 31, 2026 is above $90, the market will resolve to the "hit $90" option (not to "Other").

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“Silver will not hit any of the above prices” and “other” seem ambiguous to me.

bought Ṁ5 YES

@web3nafee If the spot price at close is above $90, will this resolve to the “hit $90” option?

bought Ṁ10 YES

@ChadCotty yes

@web3nafee Looks like it closed at $85.25.

sold Ṁ1 YES

@ChadCotty Silver trades around the clock. It’s not clear which market the creator will use.

January has not ended, still a few hours to go

sold Ṁ32 YES

Sold out of this one because of misleading terms.

You need to change hit to close to avoid confusion.

And remove this: Only one answer can resolve YES—the highest price tier that silver reaches during the month.

As it’s not true according to you. If silver reaches $90, but closes at 75, the answer won’t resolve to the $90 option.

@Jack1 done

if the close price is $92.10 how willl this resolve

Do we use the highest point it reaches during the month, or what it closes at @web3nafee

@Jack1 what it closes at

@web3nafee you should change all the answers to close. Saying hit is confusing.

bought Ṁ10 YES

@Jack1 it says so in the resolution criteria.

sold Ṁ0 YES

@web3nafee Only one answer can resolve YES—the highest price tier that silver reaches during the month

@Jack1 The market will resolve based on the spot price of silver (XAG/USD) at the close of trading on January 31, 2026. If the price is not among the options, it will resolve to Other.

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