Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if I successfully get all answers correct in Predictle 14 times before the end of February 2026. Each daily Predictle game requires correctly arranging all prediction markets by their true probability. Resolution will be verified by checking my Predictle game history on Manifold Markets (https://manifold.markets/predictle).

Background

Predictle is a daily game where you arrange prediction markets by probability. The game requires ranking multiple prediction markets from lowest to highest probability of resolving YES. A perfect score requires all markets to be correctly ordered.

Considerations

Predictle is available daily, providing multiple opportunities to achieve 14 perfect scores by February 28, 2026. The difficulty varies based on the markets featured each day—some days may have clearer probability distinctions than others.

Predictle #29

✅✅

✅✅

❌✅

❌✅

✅✅

Play at https://manifold.markets/predictle?r=d2ViM25hZmVl

Predictle #31

✅

✅

✅

✅

✅

Play at https://manifold.markets/predictle?r=d2ViM25hZmVl

Predictle #34

✅✅

✅✅

❌✅

✅✅

❌✅

Play at https://manifold.markets/predictle?r=d2ViM25hZmVl

Predictle #36

✅✅

✅✅

✅✅

❌✅

❌✅

Play at https://manifold.markets/predictle?r=d2ViM25hZmVl