Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if Apple (AAPL) closes at or above $260.00 on the last trading day of January 2026. Resolution will be verified using official closing price data from NASDAQ or Yahoo Finance.

Background

As of January 4, 2026, Apple is trading at $271.01. The all-time high Apple stock closing price was $286.19 on December 2, 2025. Apple reports fiscal first-quarter earnings at the end of January, which could influence price movement during the resolution period. Raymond James resumed coverage with a neutral rating, arguing the iPhone maker's valuation leaves little room for near-term upside.

Considerations

Forecasts for end-of-January vary significantly. One forecast projects Apple stock at $258 by end of January, while another predicts $262.56 by January 30, 2026. The $260 threshold sits near the lower end of analyst expectations, making this a relatively tight call. Investors are looking to next week's U.S. jobs report and other January data for clues on the Federal Reserve's rate path, which could create volatility during the month.