This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official USD/RUB exchange rate published by the Central Bank of the Russian Federation (CBR) for December 31, 2026, is equal to or below the listed price threshold. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
The reference rate for a given date will be considered finalized once it is officially published on the CBR’s website (cbr.ru) or in any other official CBR source (e.g., official press releases, CBR API). If the CBR does not publish a USD/RUB rate for December 31, 2026, the market will resolve based on a proxy calculation:
USD/RUB = CNY/RUB × USD/CNY,
where both CNY/RUB and USD/CNY are the official rates published by the CBR for December 31, 2026.
Resolution will occur as soon as the required rate (or proxy rates) is/are available and verified from an official CBR source. If no rate is published by January 15, 2027, the market will resolve as “No”.
The market’s resolution will be based solely on data from official CBR sources. In the event of conflicting data, the rate published earliest on the CBR’s official website (cbr.ru) will take precedence