S&P 500 closes above $7,800 on August 14?

Question

Resolves YES if the closing price of the S&P 500 index is strictly greater than 7,800 USD on August 14, 2026. Resolves NO otherwise.

Resolution source: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history/

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 33% chance (3 traders, as of Aug 5, 2026).

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