Will Bitstamp be insolvent by the end of 2024?
12
1kṀ1655resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1D
1W
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitstamp withdrawals for BTC and/or ETH are suspended for a majority of users for at least 7 full days by Dec 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM PST. If a consensus of credible reporting states that Bitstamp is insolvent by Dec 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM PST this market will also resolve to “Yes.”
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Bitstamp withdrawals being suspended for a majority of users means that a majority users are unable to withdraw their BTC and/or ETH, from Bitstamp.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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