Which 2024 Event Will Result in the Highest Value? (Sports, politics)
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Plus
20
Ṁ7977
resolved Dec 5
Resolved
YES
Largest margin of victory in an NBA Finals game
Resolved
NO
Total points scored by losing team in Super Bowl LVIII
Resolved
NO
Total runs scored by the MLB champions during the entire World Series
Resolved
NO
Smallest percentage of votes Joe Biden receives in a single state
Resolved
NO
Novak Djokovic career Grand Slams by the end of 2024
Resolved
NO
Number of electoral votes belonging to the US state that has the smallest margin of victory in the Presidential Election
Resolved
NO
Number of US states with two senators of the Republican party following the 2024 elections

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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I don't think anyone would complain if this resolved to NBA finals already.

  • (YES) In the only game they won in the series, the Mavs beat the Celtics 122-84, for a margin of 38.

  • (NO) The Dodgers scored 25 runs over the Yankees

  • (NO) Djokovic has 24 career Grand Slams

  • (NO) The narrowest margin state was Wisconsin (0.9%), which has 10 electoral votes.

  • (NO) Joe Biden got zero votes

  • (NO) The 49ers lost Super Bowl LVIII to the Chiefs 25-22

  • (NO) Once the 119th Congress convenes it'll have 25 states with two Republican senators, or 24 if JD Vance has already resigned by then to become VP a few weeks later. In any case, this is a NO.

reposted

Only a few months left! World Series starts soon!

bought Ṁ350 NO

@vibhav looks like only 3 options are plausible

For margin of victory it would have to be Texas, are we going by raw votes or % of votes in case say Nevada is won by 1% while Texas is won by 0.5%

reposted

More than halfway through the year!

reposted

@vibhav largest margin of victory in the finals was 38!! definitely undervalued at the moment

bought Ṁ990 NO

This can resolve NO already, as San Francisco's 22 points are less than Djokovic's 24 career Grand Slams.

This used to say "Number of US states with two senators of the same party following the 2024 elections." You can't just edit the option to completely change it after people have traded on it, that's very dishonest.

@Arky yeah sorry i realized my mistake is there something i could do

@vibhav It looks like there were four traders before you changed it so it would probably be best to just NA this market so everyone gets their mana back and make it again. This is a really cool idea for a market by the way!

@Arky I just messaged all bettors about this. Thank you for bringing this up!

In 2020, I believe this would have been Wyoming at 26.6%.

@TimothyJohnson5c16 And 21 (!) in 2016

Surprisingly well balanced lol

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