Red vs. Blue except manifold

Question

If there are more blue holders than red holders at market close, this market resolves to YES. Otherwise, it resolves to the percentage of red holders. Market will close at a random time on May 9 eastern time (salted sha256 hash is 8e7262a02ff53ade3e846f1660944ed51a76450b02a038491c2a07d1fad34f8e). I will not trade after midnight on May 9th.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 66% chance (2 traders, as of Apr 30, 2026).

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