Is the firing of Sam Altman and the current situation at OpenAI mainly a consequence of an internal breakthrough?
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resolved Dec 21
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NO

Resolves N/A in a year if we don't have information on why this happened. Otherwise resolves YES/NO when the information is out based on polling people I know in AI (takes based on public information, nothing private).

If you have a better idea on how I should operationalize this, comment and I might make minor changes in the beginning of the market.

By internal breakthrough, I mean a significant development of their AI capabilities that prompted this change.

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@mods OP is inactive, resolves NO.

@uzpg Presumably this resolves NO? We have a pretty good idea why it happened from interviews and the like (Sam lost the confidence of the board with stuff like trying to get Helen Toner fired, not telling them about his plans for ChatGPT etc.)

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