Will Rick Caruso win the Los Angeles mayoral election?

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resolved Jan 5

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Question will be resolved at 11:59 on the day of the November election YES if Rick Caruso wins NO if he does not win If Rick Caruso fails to qualify for November or wins outright, I will resolve the market then and there.

Politics

California

US 2022 Elections

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predictedNO

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/businessman-rick-caruso-cuts-karen-bass-lead-los-angeles-mayoral-race

Arbitrage with https://manifold.markets/BTE/will-karen-bass-be-elected-mayor-of

I agree with Caruso on too many issues and LA is a liberal city, and ideological candidates have made massive headway in D primaries. Ofc he won't win.

Holy ****, he actually came in first place. The reactionary wave is stronger than I ever would have thought.

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