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Will the largest manifold market covering the US presidential election correctly predict the outcome of the election?
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Ṁ7.7kNov 5
67%
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This market cuts off on November 4th. Yes will pay out if the candidate with the largest percent chance of winning on the largest manifold market on November 4th is inaugurated president.
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@ChinmayTheMathGuy if you feel that way place a bet, and make it 60%. put your money where your mouth is
@FakeMoney This market cuts off on November 4th. Yes will pay off if the candidate with the largest percent chance of winning on the largest manifold market on November 4th is inaugurated president.
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Will Manifold be more accurate than Polymarket in forecasting the 2024 election?
47% chance
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57% chance
In the 2024 US election, will Manifold beat 538 on accuracy?
53% chance
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Will Manifold crash during America's election night/morning?
52% chance
Which site will be most accurate at predicting the Electoral College results? (Manifold, Polymarket, Nate Silver, 538)
Will Manifold's 2024 general election predictions outperform FiveThirtyEight's?
51% chance
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45% chance
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