If ChatGPT 5 is released before election day (Nov. 5th 2024), will Joe Biden be inaugurated as POTUS on Jan. 20th 2025?
1
14
120
2025
55%
chance

This market is to test both the belief that ChatGPT 5 is AGI

AND

that it will have massive disruptive effects in society.

If ChatGPT 5 is not released to the public by election day (in this case, public counts even if it is 1 user who does not work for OpenAI), this resolves N/A.

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