Who will win the Player of the Tournament award at EURO 2024?
Who will win the Player of the Tournament award at EURO 2024?
40
1.6kṀ22kresolved Jul 14
100%99.0%
Rodri
0.1%
Kylian Mbappe
0.0%
Harry Kane
0.0%
Cristiano Ronaldo
0.1%
Jude Bellingham
0.0%
Kevin De Bruyne
0.0%
Manuel Neuer
0.0%
Robert Lewandowski
0.0%
Jamal Musiala
0.0%
N'golo Kante
0.1%
Toni Kroos
0.1%
Cody Gakpo
0.1%
Dani Olmo
0.1%
Yamine Lamal
0.3%Other
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Wait, how does adding another option while the market is open affect the people who bought "other"?
Oh ok, I noticed now that the # of shares I had for "other" were also applied to the new options that were added after I bought, this seems like a reasonable solution.
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.