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Will more of the United States be in drought on July 13 than on July 6, per the US Drought Monitor?
11
Ṁ230Ṁ477
resolved Jul 13
Resolved
NO

The US Drought Monitor releases a report and map every Thursday at 8:30am EDT (based on data up through a Tuesday cutoff) and classifies the country from experiencing no drought, or on a D0 (abnormal dryness) to D4 (severe drought) scale.

The question resolves YES if July 13's cumulative percentage non-drought area for the continental US is lower than or equal to July 6's, and otherwise NO.

48.19% is July 6's drought-free percentage to beat. Will next week's be lower?

Given this question's objectivity, I may trade in this market. Trading will close shortly before the scheduled release of the report.

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predictedNO

Drought-free percentage increased to 51.30 - resolves NO.