Simon Saunders and decoherence

100Ṁ10

2028

ALL

50%

Saunders will publish a paper/preprint on many-worlds quantum mechanics without the words 'decoherence' and 'decoherent'.

50%

Saunders will publicly concede that decoherence does not completely solve the preferred basis problem.

50%

I will write a post on my website (https://ttoe.in/posts/index.html) to tag Saunders' old position as 'bullshit' in this exact word.

34%

Saunders will publish a paper/preprint explicitly rejecting the necessity of decoherence for quantum probability assignment.

Philosopher of physics Simon Saunders has been promoting a decoherence approach to many-worlds quantum mechanics for more than 30 years. This is a controversial position, as other many-world experts such as Lev Vaidman explicitly deny the relevance of decoherence.

Recently Saunders seems to have loosened up his position, admitting that whether quantum probability always involves decoherence is an open question. This market is for proposition bets about this topic before the end of year 2028.

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