Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japan national football team competes in the quarterfinals of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The quarterfinals are scheduled to take place between July 9 and July 11, 2026. Official match results from FIFA's website will serve as the primary source for resolution. (en.wikipedia.org)

Background

The 2026 FIFA World Cup, co-hosted by the United States, Canada, and Mexico, will feature an expanded format with 48 teams divided into 12 groups of four. The top two teams from each group, along with the eight best third-placed teams, will advance to a 32-team knockout stage. (time.com)

Japan has participated in seven World Cup tournaments since their debut in 1998. They have reached the Round of 16 on four occasions: 2002, 2010, 2018, and 2022. To date, Japan has not advanced beyond the Round of 16 to the quarterfinals. (en.wikipedia.org)

Considerations

The expanded tournament format in 2026 increases the number of participating teams and alters the progression structure, potentially affecting the dynamics of advancement to the quarterfinals. Japan's historical performance and the new format should be considered when evaluating their chances of reaching the quarterfinal stage.