
Will any social media app surpass Facebook, Youtube, Instagram, or TikTok in US monthly active users by EOY 2025
5
Ṁ90Ṁ225Jan 1
9%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Criteria:
- I will base counts on the most recent numbers released by the companies, unless they are widely disputed.
- I am not considering messaging apps to be social media apps, so this discounts whatsapp, messanger, etc.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Which social network will surpass Facebook's monthly active users first?
Will YouTube surpass Facebook to be the #1 social media platform in 2029?
34% chance
Which of the following social platforms will die first? (die = lose >50% of average monthly active users YoY)
Will YouTube surpass Facebook to be the #1 social media platform in 2026?
20% chance
Will YouTube surpass Facebook to be the #1 social media platform in 2028?
69% chance
Will YouTube surpass Facebook to be the #1 social media platform in 2027?
77% chance
Will YouTube surpass Facebook to be the #1 social media platform in 2030?
28% chance
Which Twitter-like social media platform will be most popular at the end of 2026?
Will Instagram have less than half a bilion active monthly users by 2028?
14% chance
Will there be a new social media platform surpassing Instagram before the end of 2026?
34% chance