How many non-unique people will attend Harvard EA socials during Fall 2022?

Ṁ160Ṁ146

resolved Jan 15

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The number of non-unique Harvard students who attend socials run by Harvard University Effective Altruism in the second half of 2022, where non-unique means that a person who attends multiple socials is counted multiple times. This number will be determined by an estimate of the Harvard EA board at the end of the fall semester, though members of the board with outstanding shares in this market will be excluded from the estimating.

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Harvard EA Ecosystem

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predictedLOWER

I'm planning to resolve this based on the estimate of a board member who has shares in this market. They are, to my knowledge, the person likeliest to have an accurate estimate, and I believe they will lose money from their suggested resolution. If anyone has any objections to this, please say so within the next 48 hours.

I estimate about 500 so far. The rest of the semester is roughly 30%, so 650.

Does this include cross-university socials? I expect Harvard EA to be the main organizer for them but for non-Harvard students to make up roughly half of the attendees