
Each option should refer to an approach (ideally through a title with a link to a comment). The option's probability is then the probability that if the approach is followed by a total beginner, then after a month the person has rating >1000 on chess.com in rapid.
The current best approach (the one with the highest probability) will every day be rewarded 100 Mana at random time.
Only reasonable approaches will be considered that don't have other negative effects. For instance: "Use cocaine as a form of positive reinforcement." or "Purchase Magnus Carlsen." is an invalid approach, even though it might have a high probability of success.
Following the approach shouldn't cost more than $20.
This is an experiment on figuring out optimal approaches to problems.
You can read more about the idea here: https://medium.com/@patrik.cihal1234/approdict-finding-optimal-approaches-to-problems-e06491785134