Which party do YOU think is favored to win the 2024 presidential election?
14
resolved Jul 7
70% chance Republican
60% chance Republican (post-debate consensus)
60% chance Democrat
80%+ chance Republican
No opinion/See Results
80%+ chance Democrat
70% chance Democrat
About 50/50 either way
Regardless of the various markets or models, what odds do you believe each party has of winning the US presidency in 2024?
Round to the closest 10% if applicable
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