Resolves to the market type with the lowest cumulative squared difference between the odds at 12:00 AM EST Nov 5, and resolution for each of these seven markets:
/ManifoldPolitics/will-trump-win-arizona-in-the-2024--cash
/ManifoldPolitics/will-trump-win-georgia-in-the-2024
/ManifoldPolitics/will-trump-win-michigan-in-the-2024
/ManifoldPolitics/will-trump-win-nevada-in-the-2024-p
/ManifoldPolitics/will-trump-win-north-carolina-in-th
/ManifoldPolitics/will-trump-win-pennsylvania-in-the
/ManifoldPolitics/will-trump-win-wisconsin-in-the-202
The formula for cumulative squared difference:
The two CSD values are calculated for the 7 Sweepcash markets and the 7 Mana markets, and the market resolves to the lower value. The resolution value is 1.00 for YES and 0.00 for NO.
Here is a hypothetical example outcome:
In this example, Mana resolves YES.
If the CSD for both types is exactly the same, this market resolves to 50% each.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ36 | |
| 2 | Ṁ32 | |
| 3 | Ṁ30 | |
| 4 | Ṁ22 | |
| 5 | Ṁ19 |
