$200/mo OpenAI Pro subscription vs $250/mo Gemini Ultra: which will I like better?
65
3.1kṀ5251
May 24
43%
chance

I am a programmer and designer planning on using these 200, and 250 dollars per month subscriptions

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, after 36 hours of use, I determine that the OpenAI Pro subscription is better than the Gemini Ultra subscription for my programming and design needs. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

Background

OpenAI Pro Subscription: Priced at $200 per month, this plan offers unlimited access to OpenAI's most advanced models.

Gemini Ultra Subscription: This plan includes advanced AI features and integration with Google services.

Considerations

  • Feature Comparison: Evaluate the specific features and capabilities of each subscription to determine which aligns better with my programming and design requirements.

  • Specific video generation needs

  • Integration and Usability: Assess how well each subscription integrates with my existing tools and workflows, and their ease of use in daily tasks.

To get more specific I basically just use deep research, o3, sora, and operator. So I will compare these features on some broad challenging daily tasks like: create a plan for my research, help me unstuck an emotional problem, generate a video meme for my brother or for a specific groupchat, and most importantly help me draft some funny tweets.

For text queries wherever possible I will query the models through a blind api in blind ordering (link). Where this isn’t possible I will ask for a second opinion, where that person doesn’t know which model did what.

  • Update 2025-05-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The determination of which subscription is better will be based on raw usefulness. The difference in subscription cost will not be a factor in this determination.

  • Update 2025-05-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Claude Opus 4 will not be evaluated as part of this comparison.

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Any update on this?

Claude opus 4 won’t be evaluated here

bought Ṁ100 NO

Are you based in the US? When will you start using them?

@Bayesian I'll lay down another mini no limit order at 50% if you want it

Traders I am extending close by 12 hours, I had some disturbing personal news and didn’t get around to testing yesterday but today it’s on.

By the way, will this be evaluating these on a sort of cost basis at all? in other words, will the usefulness you feel Gemini Ultra provides you need to be (estimated) 25% better than what you got from OpenAI Pro, since it's $50 more expensive?

Or is this just a raw which is more useful to me?

@No_uh just raw usefulness

bought Ṁ1,250 YES

anyone wanna bet more around 50%? I'll buy yes

@Bayesian now that i know who my competition is i may not be placing anymore no limits at 50 lol

bought Ṁ10 YES

I don’t know if I’ve got a lot of unique insight to give, but thanks for sharing your experience with them. I’m interested to see how this resolves.

I will post all my prompts and responses for traders to see

bought Ṁ50 NO

In my experience using cursor, gemini 2.5 pro is the best model at coding. Not sure about your other tools though!

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