Will Julian Hazell write "The straightforward case for caring about AI risk" by the end of February?
13
Ṁ500Ṁ2.3kresolved Feb 25
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
See https://twitter.com/mealreplacer/status/1626733441373831171
"write" is operationalized as credible proof of him having written the essay being publicly available
"end of February" = 11:59 PM AoE 02/28/2023
The essay can be under a different title as long as it's on the same topic
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@nmehndir I count this as credible proof because it's not just Julian saying the essay has been written--Robert Long also confirmed, and I think there's a <0.1% chance they're colluding.
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