What sort of market should I set up?
Basic
3
Ṁ11
resolved Mar 1
50%17%
how many comments/karma will your Less Wrong post get
50%1.8%
How will predicted employment in various professions compare to actual employment?
81%Other

I want to create more prediction markets, but I lack good ideas. I will probably create a market for one or more of the suggested answers.

Resolves to the best answer, in my opinion.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00


Sort by:
1y

I couldn't decide how to pick

1y

Relates to whether AI will replace jobs.

Manifold in the wild: A Tweet by Tailcalled (tailcalled@schelling.pt)

What sort of market should I set up on Manifold Markets? https://manifold.markets/tailcalled/what-sort-of-market-should-i-set-up?referrer=tailcalled

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana Ṁ and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash S to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
S1.00
→ $1.00
, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.
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