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@strutheo Resolves YES

https://www.axios.com/2024/04/18/tiktok-ban-law-bill-mike-johnson

Uhh, the bill could theoretically pass, but it doesn’t go into effect immediately as currently written

@DavidFWatson if it is passed and signed i think i will count this

@strutheo I’m not sure I agree that meets the wording here, but also I think it’s a bit high given that “by end of April” is currently trading at like 8%

@DavidFWatson well even after biden signs up it can be appealed/held up forever, so this market is mainly for the official law part. i can make it clearer

@DavidFWatson also this market is for 2025

@strutheo Oh shit dawg

@DavidFWatson I feel pretty good, getting out of this with a loss of only 3 mana

A forced sale wouldn't count as ban right?

@varvalle hard to say since the word ban is being used in reference to the bill and media right now. is the actual text either a ban or a forced sell?

@strutheo My understanding is it would disallow Chinese ownership of tiktok, but not the existence of the platform itself, so if it were sold it could keep existing

@varvalle i think would count that, as banning chinese ownership. ill rephrase so it is clear. the spirit of the question is - will the USA pass legislation targeting tiktok then actually go through with it