MANIFOLD
Will there be 100 or more human cases of H5N1 in the US by the end of 2025?
30
Ṁ1kṀ30k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

resolves YES if 100 or more people are infected by the end of 2025 in the US, as reported by this website

https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/students.for.health.security.2024/viz/USH5N1OutbreakTracker/Dashboard1

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ4,040
2Ṁ2,538
3Ṁ1,741
4Ṁ731
5Ṁ471
Sort by:

@Manifold happy new year! Since you folks sweepified the 2024 version of this market, it might be good to do the same to this 2025 market, since AFAICT you don’t have any sweepstakes markets for H5N1 in 2025.

What year is this about again?

@strutheo Although, based on the phrasing, it presumably includes cases from 2024 too?

@strutheo I’m wondering the same thing — is this total US cases inclusive of 2024 infections?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy