Will the Sagrada Familia church be fully complete by EOY 2026, the 100th anniversary of Antoni Gaudi's death?
Will the Sagrada Familia church be fully complete by EOY 2026, the 100th anniversary of Antoni Gaudi's death?
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will figure out a good definition of done, since right now the concern is the officials will just call it 'done' to get it finished by the 100th anniversary, even if some parts are not finished
@strutheo From the Guardian
Although the building is set to be complete by 2026, work on sculptures and decorative details and, above all, the controversial stairway leading to what will eventually be the main entrance, is expected to continue until 2034.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/mar/25/sagrada-familia-barcelona-completed-2026-stairway
That explains why I'm asking.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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