Will Google still feature the I'm Feeling Lucky button in some form at the end of 2026?
Will Google still feature the I'm Feeling Lucky button in some form at the end of 2026?
13
1kṀ5882027
81%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will Google still feature the I'm Feeling Lucky button in some form at the end of 2027?
57% chance
At the end of 2025, will Google still display "Gulf of America" when "gulf of mexico" is searched?
90% chance
[Metaculus] Will Google implement a feature to explain targeted Google Ads before 2026?
50% chance
Will Google Pay be discontinued by the end of 2025?
8% chance
Will I have found a website which I consider a compelling Google search alternative by 2025
75% chance
Will Google disappear before 2034?
3% chance
Will Google Search still be the most popular search engine by 2040?
40% chance
Will Google begin offering a premium paid AI search feature by the end of 2024?
15% chance
Will Google announce that it's going to power Google Translate with an LLM-only based system (before 2024 end)?
15% chance