Will Focus Features win Best Picture before April 1st 2031? Currently they have the most Oscar nominations without a win
Will Focus Features win Best Picture before April 1st 2031? Currently they have the most Oscar nominations without a win
4
70Ṁ622031
80%
chance
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As of Dec 2023 Focus Features is the production company with the most nominations for Best Picture without any wins (11).
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
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