Will evidence come out showing Elon Musk's recent Diablo 4 run is not genuine by the end of 2025?
Will evidence come out showing Elon Musk's recent Diablo 4 run is not genuine by the end of 2025?
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resolves yes if someone uncovers evidence that indicates his run was cheated, staged, TAS, or manipulated in some way , verified as judged by me alongside public consensus
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What if he has a team of strategists on payroll creating the most perfect strategy and training him to do it, but the run itself was 'pure'
How does this resolve if he exploited a bug?
Elon Musk's Diablo IV Build May Only Look Good Because He's Great At Exploiting Loopholes
opened a Ṁ50 NO at 45% order6mo
@TimothyJohnson5c16 This is what speedruns are, right? Unless he advertised it as a glitchless run this seems fine. I've watched dozens of speedruns of people duping items or glitching through walls, it's how they get so fast.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
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