Which MLB Baseball team will be the last one to win the World Series at least once?
Basic
5
Ṁ171
2101
35%
Other
27%
Rockies
13%
Rays
8%
Mariners
8%
Padres
8%
Brewers

After the Rangers winning in 2023, there are now 5 that have not won yet, although more teams could be added:

  • Colorado Rockies

  • Milwaukee Brewers

  • San Diego Padres

  • Seattle Mariners

  • Tampa Bay Rays

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@SunilOcara: Out of the 5 teams that haven't won yet, all 5 of them have now already been added as options — so the "Other" option probably isn't the most likely (unless a new team forms before the others win a World Series).

bought Ṁ6 Other YES

Surprised nobody's added the Rays, so that all the current options are present! (well, other than hypothetical future teams, which would go under Other)

existing teams only? What if the MLB expands?

@Qoiuoiuoiu they can be added to the list and will count in the running

@strutheo How does this affect the “other” category? If we assume (as we pretty much have to) that expansion is possible, then “other” is always possible and can never resolve to no.

@SunilOcara this market resolves no when all active/existing teams have won the world series at least once. so it will resolve NO at the end if someone splits off a new team option

@SunilOcara if you buy OTHER and a new option is added, you get shares in that option. manifold has a system for it

@strutheo Got it. Thanks

@strutheo Your description says there are now 5 teams that have not won but more could be added. That’s seems to conflict with the statement here that this only includes current active/existing teams.

@strutheo Basically, is “other” a NO right now since all 5 teams that have not won yet have been adde

@SunilOcara if you bet YES on OTHER right now, you anticipate a new team being added that will be the last to win the world series

(which isnt impossible - it could take 10+ yrs for these listed teams to all win, and in that time a new team could be added)

@strutheo Okay I think I understand. The market resolves once every team in the league (at that time) has won the WS. Thanks

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